Wallabies vs Japan 2nd Test 2026 Prediction, Tips & Odds

Wallabies vs Japan 2nd Test 2026 Prediction, Tips & Odds

Wallabies
vs
Japan
Queensland Country Bank Stadium on Saturday, August 15, at 3:15 PM

We have our Wallabies vs Japan prediction for the 2nd test on Saturday, August 15, at 5:15 PM, where the Wallabies hold a 1-0 advantage in the best-of-two series.

After a hotly-contested 1st test in Japan, Australia are heavy favourites to bounce back with a victory. However, Japan is one of the world’s most improved teams, and they could give the hosts something to worry about at Queensland Country Bank Stadium.

Our Wallabies vs Japan tips look at the best bets for the big game, and the latest rugby odds are available at Betcha.

Spread Pick
Pick: Japan +16.5 @ $1.95

Having backed Australia to cover the spread last week, we can’t bet on them again to cover a big -16.5 spread.

Apart from their big win over Italy during the Nations Championship, the Wallabies haven’t shown us enough to bet on them with confidence, and last week’s 35-32 win over Japan wasn’t a standout performance.

Winning easily in Japan isn’t easy, but given their roster, we expected the Wallabies to defend better. Allowing Japan to score 32 points not only highlights how bad Australia’s defence is, but it also highlights how far Japan has come.

They used to be an easy beat in world rugby, but they showed improvement during the Nations Championship, including a win over Italy and a strong showing against Ireland. If they bring that form to the table, as they did last week, they can cover the +16.5 spread in North Queensland.

It all hinges on defence for the visitors, who don’t have a home crowd to cheer them on this week. However, they’re a spirited team, and Australia’s confidence levels won’t be high following a three-point victory last week.

Total Points
Pick: Under 63.5 Points @ $1.90

Japan’s chances of winning and covering spread depend on their defence, and we expect it to have improved from last week.

Allowing 35 points should be enough to cover the +16.5 spread, and given how static Australia’s attack has looked at times this year, we’re confident in including under 63.5 points in rugby tips this week.

Conditions are typically ideal for running rugby at this stadium, but Japan’s defence is better than advertised, and if they’re not fatigued after a gruelling contest last week, they should arrive with plenty of enthusiasm.

Bookies at Betcha have an accurate line, and we expect it to be a close-run thing. However, if Australia isn’t firing on all cylinders, it could be a game dominated either side of the halfway line, and that should result in a low-scoring gam.

Japan First Half Points
Pick: Over 11.5 @ $1.80

It won’t take much for Japan to score over 11.5 points in the first half. They come off a 32-point performance last week, where they started well, and they’re good enough to score a couple of tries in the first 40 minutes.

There isn’t much respect for Japan’s attack, but it’s much improved over the last few years, despite not having any standout players. They play well as a team, and Australia is also prone to committing penalties, and Japan could convert.

It’s one of our best rugby tips this week, and it has firmed into $1.80. It’s worth including in rugby SGM picks to boost payouts.

Same Game Multi
Pick: Japan +16.5, Under 63.5 Points, Japan Over 11.5 First Half, First Half Highest Scoring Half @ $7.99

Our Japan vs Wallabies prediction features a same game multi, which pays $7.99 with Betcha.

We have Japan +16.5, under 63.5 points, Japan over 11.5 first-half points, and first half being the highest scoring half, which pays a healthy sum.

Same game multis are a great way to maximise value with one bet, and there is plenty of value available at Betcha this week.